Complete posthoc with Holm adjust
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@ -7,6 +7,8 @@
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#include "Result.h"
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#include "Result.h"
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#include "Colors.h"
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#include "Colors.h"
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#include <boost/math/distributions/chi_squared.hpp>
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#include <boost/math/distributions/chi_squared.hpp>
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#include <boost/math/distributions/normal.hpp>
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namespace fs = std::filesystem;
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namespace fs = std::filesystem;
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@ -24,6 +26,11 @@ std::string ftime_to_string(TP tp)
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buffer << std::put_time(gmt, "%Y-%m-%d %H:%M");
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buffer << std::put_time(gmt, "%Y-%m-%d %H:%M");
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return buffer.str();
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return buffer.str();
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}
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}
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struct WTL {
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int win;
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int tie;
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int loss;
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};
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namespace platform {
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namespace platform {
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@ -228,33 +235,110 @@ namespace platform {
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}
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}
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return ranks;
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return ranks;
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}
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}
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void friedmanTest(int nModels, int nDatasets, map<string, float> ranks, double significance = 0.05)
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map<int, WTL> computeWTL(int controlIdx, vector<string> models, json table)
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{
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// Compute the WTL matrix
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map<int, WTL> wtl;
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int nModels = models.size();
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for (int i = 0; i < nModels; ++i) {
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wtl[i] = { 0, 0, 0 };
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}
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json origin = table.begin().value();
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for (auto const& item : origin.items()) {
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auto controlModel = models.at(controlIdx);
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double controlValue = table[controlModel].at(item.key()).at(0).get<double>();
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for (int i = 0; i < nModels; ++i) {
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if (i == controlIdx) {
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continue;
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}
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double value = table[models[i]].at(item.key()).at(0).get<double>();
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if (value < controlValue) {
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wtl[i].win++;
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} else if (value == controlValue) {
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wtl[i].tie++;
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} else {
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wtl[i].loss++;
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}
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}
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}
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return wtl;
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}
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void postHocHolm(int controlIdx, vector<string> models, int nDatasets, map<string, float> ranks, double significance, map<int, WTL> wtl)
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{
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// Reference https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44196-022-00083-8
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// Post-hoc Holm test
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// Calculate the p-value for the models paired with the control model
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int nModels = models.size();
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map<int, double> stats; // p-value of each model paired with the control model
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boost::math::normal dist(0.0, 1.0);
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double diff = sqrt(nModels * (nModels + 1) / (6.0 * nDatasets));
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for (int i = 0; i < nModels; i++) {
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if (i == controlIdx) {
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stats[i] = 0.0;
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continue;
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}
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double z = abs(ranks.at(models[controlIdx]) - ranks.at(models[i])) / diff;
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double p_value = (long double)2 * (1 - cdf(dist, z));
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stats[i] = p_value;
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}
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// Sort the models by p-value
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vector<pair<int, double>> statsOrder;
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for (const auto& stat : stats) {
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statsOrder.push_back({ stat.first, stat.second });
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}
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sort(statsOrder.begin(), statsOrder.end(), [](const pair<int, double>& a, const pair<int, double>& b) {
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return a.second < b.second;
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});
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// Holm adjustment
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for (int i = 0; i < statsOrder.size(); ++i) {
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auto item = statsOrder.at(i);
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double before = i == 0 ? 0.0 : statsOrder.at(i - 1).second;
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double p_value = min((double)1.0, item.second * (nModels - i));
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p_value = max(before, p_value);
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statsOrder[i] = { item.first, p_value };
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}
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cout << Colors::CYAN();
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cout << " *************************************************************************************************************" << endl;
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cout << " Post-hoc Holm test: H0: 'There is no significant differences between the control model and the other models.'" << endl;
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cout << " Control model: " << models[controlIdx] << endl;
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cout << " Model p-value rank win tie loss" << endl;
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cout << " ============ ============ ========= === === ====" << endl;
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for (const auto& item : ranks) {
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if (item.first == models.at(controlIdx)) {
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continue;
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}
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auto idx = distance(models.begin(), find(models.begin(), models.end(), item.first));
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double pvalue = 0.0;
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for (const auto& stat : statsOrder) {
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if (stat.first == idx) {
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pvalue = stat.second;
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}
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}
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cout << " " << left << setw(12) << item.first << " " << setprecision(10) << fixed << pvalue << setprecision(7) << " " << item.second;
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cout << " " << right << setw(3) << wtl.at(idx).win << " " << setw(3) << wtl.at(idx).tie << " " << setw(4) << wtl.at(idx).loss << endl;
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}
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cout << " *************************************************************************************************************" << endl;
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cout << Colors::RESET();
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}
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bool friedmanTest(vector<string> models, int nDatasets, map<string, float> ranks, double significance = 0.05)
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{
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{
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// Friedman test
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// Friedman test
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// Calculate the Friedman statistic
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// Calculate the Friedman statistic
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double sum = 0.0;
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int nModels = models.size();
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if (nModels < 3 || nDatasets < 3) {
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if (nModels < 3 || nDatasets < 3) {
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cout << "Can't make the Friedman test with less than 3 models and/or less than 3 datasets." << endl;
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throw runtime_error("Can't make the Friedman test with less than 3 models and/or less than 3 datasets.");
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return;
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}
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}
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << endl;
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << endl;
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cout << "*************************************************************************************" << endl;
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cout << "***************************************************************************************************************" << endl;
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cout << Colors::GREEN() << "Friedman test: H0: 'There is no significant differences between all the classifiers.'" << Colors::BLUE() << endl;
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cout << Colors::GREEN() << "Friedman test: H0: 'There is no significant differences between all the classifiers.'" << Colors::BLUE() << endl;
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for (const auto& rank : ranks) {
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sum += rank.second;
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}
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double degreesOfFreedom = nModels - 1.0;
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double degreesOfFreedom = nModels - 1.0;
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double sumSquared = 0;
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double sumSquared = 0;
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// For original Friedman test
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// for (const auto& rank : ranks) {
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// sumSquared += rank.second * rank.second;
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// }
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for (const auto& rank : ranks) {
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for (const auto& rank : ranks) {
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sumSquared += pow(rank.second / nDatasets, 2);
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sumSquared += pow(rank.second, 2);
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}
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}
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cout << "Sum of ranks: " << sum << endl;
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cout << "Sum of squared ranks: " << sumSquared << endl;
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// (original) double friedmanQ = 12.0 / (nModels * nDatasets * (nModels + 1)) * sumSquared - 3 * nDatasets * (nModels + 1);
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// Compute the Friedman statistic as in https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44196-022-00083-8
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// Compute the Friedman statistic as in https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s44196-022-00083-8
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double friedmanQ = 12.0 * nDatasets / (nModels * (nModels + 1)) * (sumSquared - (nModels * pow(nModels + 1, 2)) / 4);
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double friedmanQ = 12.0 * nDatasets / (nModels * (nModels + 1)) * (sumSquared - (nModels * pow(nModels + 1, 2)) / 4);
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cout << "Friedman statistic: " << friedmanQ << endl;
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cout << "Friedman statistic: " << friedmanQ << endl;
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@ -264,14 +348,18 @@ namespace platform {
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double criticalValue = quantile(chiSquared, 1 - significance);
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double criticalValue = quantile(chiSquared, 1 - significance);
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std::cout << "Critical Chi-Square Value for df=" << fixed << (int)degreesOfFreedom
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std::cout << "Critical Chi-Square Value for df=" << fixed << (int)degreesOfFreedom
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<< " and alpha=" << setprecision(2) << fixed << significance << ": " << setprecision(7) << scientific << criticalValue << std::endl;
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<< " and alpha=" << setprecision(2) << fixed << significance << ": " << setprecision(7) << scientific << criticalValue << std::endl;
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cout << "p-value: " << scientific << p_value << endl;
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cout << "p-value: " << scientific << p_value << " is " << (p_value < significance ? "less" : "greater") << " than " << setprecision(2) << fixed << significance << endl;
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//if (friedmanQ > criticalValue) { (original)
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//if (friedmanQ > criticalValue) { (original)
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bool result;
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if (p_value < significance) {
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if (p_value < significance) {
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cout << Colors::MAGENTA() << "The null hypothesis H0 is rejected." << endl;
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cout << Colors::MAGENTA() << "The null hypothesis H0 is rejected." << endl;
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result = true;
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} else {
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} else {
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cout << Colors::GREEN() << "The null hypothesis H0 is accepted." << endl;
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cout << Colors::GREEN() << "The null hypothesis H0 is accepted." << endl;
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result = false;
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}
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}
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << "*************************************************************************************" << endl;
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << "***************************************************************************************************************" << endl;
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return result;
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}
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}
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void BestResults::printTableResults(set<string> models, json table)
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void BestResults::printTableResults(set<string> models, json table)
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{
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{
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@ -292,6 +380,7 @@ namespace platform {
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map<string, double> totals;
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map<string, double> totals;
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map<string, float> ranks;
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map<string, float> ranks;
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map<string, float> ranksTotal;
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map<string, float> ranksTotal;
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int nDatasets = table.begin().value().size();
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for (const auto& model : models) {
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for (const auto& model : models) {
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totals[model] = 0.0;
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totals[model] = 0.0;
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}
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}
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// Output the averaged ranks
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// Output the averaged ranks
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cout << endl;
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cout << endl;
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int min = 1;
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int min = 1;
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for (const auto& rank : ranksTotal) {
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for (auto& rank : ranksTotal) {
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if (rank.second < min) {
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if (rank.second < min) {
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min = rank.second;
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min = rank.second;
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}
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}
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rank.second /= nDatasets;
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}
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}
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << setw(30) << " Ranks....................";
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cout << Colors::BLUE() << setw(30) << " Ranks....................";
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for (const auto& model : models) {
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for (const auto& model : models) {
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if (ranksTotal[model] == min) {
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if (ranksTotal[model] == min) {
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efectiveColor = Colors::RED();
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efectiveColor = Colors::RED();
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}
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}
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cout << efectiveColor << setw(12) << setprecision(9) << fixed << (double)ranksTotal[model] / (double)origin.size() << " ";
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cout << efectiveColor << setw(12) << setprecision(9) << fixed << (double)ranksTotal[model] << " ";
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}
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}
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cout << endl;
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cout << endl;
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if (friedman) {
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if (friedman) {
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friedmanTest(models.size(), table.begin().value().size(), ranksTotal, 0.05);
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double significance = 0.05;
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vector<string> vModels(models.begin(), models.end());
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if (friedmanTest(vModels, nDatasets, ranksTotal, significance)) {
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// Stablish the control model as the one with the lowest averaged rank
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int controlIdx = distance(ranks.begin(), min_element(ranks.begin(), ranks.end(), [](const auto& l, const auto& r) { return l.second < r.second; }));
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auto wtl = computeWTL(controlIdx, vModels, table);
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postHocHolm(controlIdx, vModels, nDatasets, ranksTotal, significance, wtl);
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}
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}
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}
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}
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}
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void BestResults::reportAll()
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void BestResults::reportAll()
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